I was chatting with some friends online and decided to look up some stats. Since last year was pretty good for a lot of small cap stocks, I thought the performance of the MSCI Singapore small cap index would be much better than the MSCI Singapore index.
For reference, the MSCI Singapore index is a 16-stock index unlike the Straits Times index. And it is rather concentrated. This is its current holdings:

The 3 banks is about 60% of the index.
Here is the current holdings of the 58-stock MSCI Singapore Small Cap Index:


Here are some of the performance (in USD) if we take the data from 1999 to Aug 2026:
| Time Period | MSCI Singapore Returns | MSCI Singapore Small Cap Returns |
| Year to date | 26.9% | 4.5% |
| Last 1 year | 27.8% | 9.1% |
| Last 2 year | 37.0% p.a. | 12.3% p.a. |
| Last 3 year | 32.2% p.a. | 10.9% p.a. |
| Last 4 year | 25.0% p.a. | 7.3% p.a. |
| Last 5 year | 15.0% p.a. | 5.1% p.a. |
| Last 10 year | 10.9% p.a. | 6.3% p.a. |
| Jan 1999 to Aug 2026 | 9.0% p.a. | 10.1% p.a. |
If you are not in Singapore blue chips you have badly lagged. I think some may use this data to either emphasize only blue chips are investable or that you have to pick stocks.
I am not sure if that is always the case.
If you look at the 27-year result, the small cap actually did better.
So what gives?
I think be open to the idea that there isn’t much permanence in the market. As some are review at this point, they may be disappointed with their choices not to be heavy in SGX, DBS, OCBC.
And so now they have to decide whether to switch after seeing like 130% performance in the last 3 years.
It is a wise decision if SGX, DBS, OCBC are the unicorn stocks that would always do better than the rest.
At the same time, some may find it wise to respect the base rate.
