August 22, 2025 Investorideas.com (www.investorideas.com
Newswire) a go-to platform for big investing ideas, including gold
stocks issues market commentary from Konstantinos Chrysikos, Head of
Customer Relationship Management at Kudotrade.
The US dollar remained firm on Friday, consolidating the gains made
on Thursday, after cautious remarks from Fed officials combined with
stronger-than-expected PMI data lifted the currency. Despite this
resilience, weekly jobless claims disappointed, pointing to signs of
cooling in the labor market.
Markets are now recalibrating expectations for monetary easing, with
futures assigning a 73% chance of a 25bp cut in September. Forecasts
continue to indicate two potential rate cuts by year-end.
Policymakers have highlighted tariff-related price risks, with
Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid pointing out that inflation
remained elevated and Cleveland’s Beth Hammack not seeing a case for
reducing interest rates immediately.
Treasury yields reflected the wait-and-see stance. The 10-year note
held just above 4.32%, broadly unchanged on the day but near its
recent highs, suggesting investors are reluctant to adjust
positioning before Powell clarifies whether the Fed intends to
validate current market pricing or push back against easing bets. A
cautious tone could temper expectations for aggressive rate cuts and
lend support to both the dollar and yields, while dovish signals may
revive bets on faster policy easing and weigh on the greenback.
On the data front, PMI surveys reinforced the bullish sentiment.
August’s composite index reached 55.4, its highest this year, with
manufacturing rebounding strongly to 53.3, the best reading since
May 2022, while services activity held comfortably in expansionary
territory. Rising input costs and higher output charges underscored
lingering inflationary pressures, even as employment growth
accelerated in manufacturing.
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