Investorideas.com (www.investorideas.com Newswire) a go-to platform for big investing ideas, including tech stocks
issues market commentary from Ahmad Assiri Research Strategist at
Pepperstone.
Markets delivered a strong session with enhanced risk appetite and
gains extending across multiple asset classes. US macro data was the
primary catalyst. Core CPI landed in line with expectations while
weekly jobless claims spiked to 263k. Taken together, the data
reinforced market conviction that the Fed is set to cut rates next
week, with a 25bp move fully priced and a cumulative 75bp reduction
now anticipated by year-end.
Equities maintained their upward trajectory with the SPX notching
fresh record highs and the Nasdaq-100 breaking through the 24,000
level intraday. Importantly, the advance broadened well beyond the
tech sector, materials, healthcare, consumer discretionary and
financials all outperformed. This rotation underscores better depth of
the rally and challenges the narrative that gains are overly dependent
on the mega-cap names. Breadth of participation suggests institutional
and retail demand are reinforcing each other, at least in the short
term.
Pullbacks intraday remained shallow and were absorbed, forcing many of
sidelined investors to chase the tape higher. History from the past
two years suggests that buying into new highs has not been a misstep
with dips proving opportunities to reestablish exposure. With rate
cuts on the horizon, this pattern likely to persist in the near term.
In Treasuries, the moves were more nuanced. The 10-year yield slipped
around to settle near 4.02%, briefly touching 4% for the first time
since April. The curve flattened slightly, reflecting a mix of
near-term easing expectations and longer-term fiscal sustainability
concerns hold still. Earlier in the week, the Bureau of Labor
Statistics’ benchmark revision stripped more than 911k jobs from
April 2024 to March 2025, reinforcing the perception of a softer labor
market and strengthening the case for the Fed cut. While a 50bp cut
remains a tail risk, policymakers are unlikely to risk signaling panic
through such a move, keeping consensus anchored at 25bp.
Looking ahead, the risk lies in buy the rumor, sell the fact. With
markets heavily leaning into a 25bp cut, the Fed risks disappointing
if it delivers the expected step with little to none hint at further
accommodation. As such, equities could see profit-taking, bond yields
may rebound modestly, gold could give back part of its stellar run and
the dollar might find short-term support. The broader narrative
remains, markets are optimistic on near-term monetary easing, yet
mindful that the path to broader economic stability is uneven. US
equities stand at record levels with expanding breadth, Treasuries are
reasserting their signaling role, the dollar is drifting sideways with
a softer bias and gold continues to act as the barometer of underlying
market worries.
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